SUMMARY…Isolated/limited severe risk persists across valid portions of the watch.
DISCUSSION…Latest radar loop shows a persistent convective band now extending from far northeast Georgia south-southwest to the central Florida Panhandle. The line is most solid across Georgia, while some weakening/disorganization is noted farther south into southeast Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. With very strong deep-layer flow providing shear favorable for organized storms, the main limiting factor for more robust severe risk has been modest instability across most of the region, and a slightly stable boundary layer — particularly north/away from the Gulf Coast. Still, given shear favorable for rotating updrafts, potential for damaging winds with stronger cells — and a brief tornado or two — continues.
