The Tuesday morning Weather Xtreme video is available in the player above, and also on iTunes.
BLOG BUSINESS: You can now see the writer at the top of each post… thanks for pointing out that “bug” yesterday. We will work on getting the “full screen” option back on the flash video player today or tomorrow. The comments on the new format have been overwhelmingly positive… this should be a much better platform for all of us.
A LITTLE RAIN: We will continue to mention a chance of scattered showers tonight and tomorrow with a slow moving cold front, but this one is starved for moisture, and with the main dynamic support up in Canada we sure don’t expect much rain. The NAM/WRF model shows 0.09″ for Birmingham, while the GFS is slightly wetter at 0.15″. A few showers could show up this evening, but most neighborhoods should be dry for the trick or treaters.
COOLER AIR RETURNS: Very cold air has moved into the northern U.S… as I write this Butte, Montana is down to 2 degrees below zero. We will catch the southern edge of that airmass later in the week. On Thursday we will forecast a high only in the low to mid 60s, but it is interesting to note the NAM/WRF keeps us in the 50s all day. The GFS is coming in colder on Friday and Saturday morning; the model is now showing mid 30s both mornings, and considering the depth of the cold air up north, that sure looks good to us. In fact, I expect many spots will see a light freeze both mornings. Most likely, the coldest morning will be early Saturday with a clear sky and light wind. The colder valleys should be in the 20s by then. Thursday will be partly sunny, and Friday and Saturday should feature maximum sunshine with highs in the 60s. Wonderful fall weather. Sunday will be rain-free as well.
NEXT WEEK: A dynamic weather system will impact Alabama one week from today, Tuesday November 7 (Election Day). Yesterday’s 12Z GFS backed off on the strength of the system, but the 00Z is back on it and looks pretty good. We might deal with the possibility of strong to severe storms, but needless to say this far in advance it is very hard to nail down the details.
LONG RANGE: The mid-month period sure looks active. Every model run will be different, but the GFS is strongly hinting at the chance of one, and maybe two major storm systems that will offer some risk of severe storms across the Deep South. This is the fall tornado season, so we will have to be on our toes.
STORM ALERT XTREME: Don’t forget our annual severe weather training event is coming up on November 11 at the BJCC. No cost, and you will be trained by one of the best SKYWARN trainers in the nation, our own Brian Peters. We are asking all of our SKywatchers to attend, and anyone who loves weather will get someting from it. For those who have been trained in the past, I recommend you go through both the basic and the advanced training one a year… we always have something new to share. You can get the details by clicking on the Storm Alert XTREME link over on the left sidebar of the blog (under “pages”). You can also learn more about the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher program by clicking on that link.
I have a road trip today to Fayette to speak with the students at the elementary school there; you know I will be taking the roads less traveled. What a great time of the year to do that with the fall colors looking so good; I will write about the trip on the blog tonight. I will be back in time to get the afternoon Weather Xtreme video posted by 3:30… enjoy your Halloween!
