The Thanksgiving edition of the Weather Xtreme video is available in the player below, and also on iTunes:
Back in the ABC 33/40 Weather Center after a great family Thanksgiving feast at the house. If I wasn’t doing this update I would probably be sound asleep on a couch somewhere. I might fall asleep writing this!
Still no problem through early next week with sunny mild days and clear chilly nights. Incredibly nice weather for late November in Alabama. All of our attention will be focused on developments next week…
NEXT WEEK: Model madness still rules. The GFS holds off on our main chance of showers and storms until Thursday, followed by a sharp change to colder weather on Friday (December 1). The European (ECMWF) really doesn’t bring that much cold air down here, and keeps the flow less amplified. SPC has taken much of Alabama out of the day 4-8 severe weather outlook; just the southwest part of the state is now included.
The one fact you can’t ignore is the amount of bitterly cold air available right now across Alaska and the Northwest Territories of Canada. Again this morning it was as cold as -40 degrees (F) in that region, and the surface pressures continue to rise. This kind of airmass really lends a little more support to the GFS solution.
So… the thinking here is that we have a cold front passage on Thursday afternoon with a good band of showers and strong storms. Much colder air rolls in here Thursday night and Friday (November 30-December 1). We might have a hard time getting out of the 30s on Friday with a strong north wind. And yes, there is still some hint at a frontal wave in the northern Gulf as the cold air rolls in here. I still think the chance of a big winter weather threat is relatively small at this point, but the snow/ice lovers need not give up hope just yet since all of this is voodoo right now. We should have a pretty good grasp on this by early Monday morning and the first Weather Xtreme video of the work week.
I will crank out one Weather Xtreme video tomorrow; that one will probably be posted early in the day, before 7:00 a.m. Anyone planning on hitting the stores at 5:00 a.m. tomorrow when they open? Have a great evening and enjoy some time with your family tonight.
