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WARMER DAYS: After a sub-freezing start, we will warm into the low to mid 50s today with a partly sunny sky. Some energy will pass over today, but with a dry airmass we don’t expect anything more than scattered clouds. Mid 50s are likely tomorrow with a good supply of sunshine.
MILD WEEKEND: Wow… the NAM has gone loco and is forecasting a high of 69 for Birmingham on Saturday. We will reject that, but the GFS is at 62 and we will accept that… so break out the tank tops and flip flops. That actually won’t be our warmest day of 2011 if we do reach the low 60s… the high was 64 back on January 1. The sky should be partly to mostly sunny Saturday, but clouds will increase Sunday, and some rain will likely break out over the southern half of the state during the day, possibly moving up this way by late afternoon or Sunday night.
NEXT WEEK: The weather will be unsettled for the first half of the week with an upper low over the Southwest U.S. sending occasional ripples of energy our way. We will need to mention some risk of rain each day Monday through Wednesday, but the ECMWF, which has had the best track record this season, suggests some rain Monday, a dry day Tuesday, followed by the main rain event Wednesday. And, if you watch the Weather Xtreme video you will see the ECMWF is suggesting the potential for a Ground Hog Day snow for places like Memphis and Muscle Shoals. Seems like the core of the cold air wants to stay a little north of here, so for now we will just mention rain, and we will get a better look as the event gets closer. Thursday and Friday of next week look cool and dry.
VOODOO LAND: The GFS still shows potential for a mid-south snow storm around February 9, and very cold air following that. See the Weather Xtreme video for the details.
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I am headed to Gadsden this morning for a weather program at Litchfield Middle School… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 or so. Enjoy the day!
