Published on: April 4, 2011 at 4:37 PM

Dr. Tim’s analysis seems to be right on this afternoon and it seems the SPC agrees…

000
ACUS11 KWNS 042128
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042128
GAZ000-ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-042230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0351
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0428 PM CDT MON APR 04 2011

AREAS AFFECTED…SE LA…SRN MS…CNTRL/SRN AL…NW GA

CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH NEEDED SOON

VALID 042128Z – 042230Z

NEW TORNADO WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED SOON FOR AN EXPANSIVE AREA FROM
SE LA NEWD INTO NW GA.

EXTENSIVE QLCS SPANS THE OH VLY TO THE WRN GULF COAST AT 21Z. LATEST
MESOANALYSIS SHOWS STRONG TWO-HOURLY PRESSURE FALLS IN EXCESS OF 4.5
MB FROM NEAR JACKSON NEWD TO BIRMINGHAM. THIS WILL RESULT IN
ENHANCED SLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND BOOST RISK FOR STRONG TORNADOES
ACROSS THE ZONE LATER THIS EVENING. STRONG CAP AHEAD OF THE QLCS
WILL PROBABLY INHIBIT STORMS IN THE WARM SECTOR…BUT SUPERCELLS
WITHIN THE LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF TORNADOES.
OTHERWISE…BOWS/LEWPS WILL BRING CORRIDORS OF VERY STRONG WIND
GUSTS.

..RACY.. 04/04/2011

…PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT…

ATTN…WFO…FFC…TAE…BMX…MOB…JAN…LIX…

LAT…LON 30229050 34858480 33368368 31048658 29138913 28829096
30229050