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SUMMER OF 2012: We have had two “cool” periods so far in meteorological summer, and one really hot spell. On June 10 our high was only 77 degrees, and on July 12 the high was 79 (in the midst of those two cool periods). But, on the other hand, our heat peaked at 104 on July 1 (during the heat wave). Through all of this temperatures are running at or just below average so far with the average high right at 91.5 degrees.
We expect pretty much average summer weather conditions for the first half of this week; highs in the 91-95 degree range with a few scattered showers and storms each afternoon. The chance of any one spot getting wet today and tomorrow is about one in four.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: An upper trough forms over the northeast U.S., and a weak surface front approaches Alabama from the north and becomes stationary over Tennessee. This pattern is favorable for an increased coverage of showers and storms, and we will indicate that in our forecast on these three days along with lower afternoon temperatures due to the clouds. No wash-out, but a pretty decent chance of at least a few showers and storms.
WEEKEND PREVIEW: The front to the north will wash out, leaving us in a very routine summer pattern for Saturday and Sunday. You know the story… partly sunny hot days with the chance of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the low 90s.
GULF COAST WEATHER: If you are beach bound this week, nothing really out of the ordinary is expected on the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. About 5 to 7 hours of sun each day with the usual summer chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs along the immediate coast will remain in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 84 degrees.
TROPICS: Again the Atlantic basin is very quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected this week. We do note a TUTT (tropical upper tropospheric trough) just off the Southeast U.S. coast, but that is drifting west and is not expected to generate anything surface based over the ocean.
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I look forward to sharing with the men at the Jimmie Hale Mission today… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!
