Author Archives: AWXVTEC FEED
Severe Weather Analysis 11 am
Line of storms came in a little faster than expected this morning. Right now, with the exception of the severe storm moving toward Cullman and Morgan counties…the line does not look too severe. However, south of the line, the sun … Continue reading
Severe Weather Today
There have been a few reports of tornadoes in Arkansas, with one passing over the National Weather Service office near Little Rock, doing some damage to nearby buildings. The forecast for Alabama has gotten a little more difficult, as the … Continue reading
12 UTC models
No big changes in the 12 UTC model runs. It looks like sunshine may be limited tomorrow…which is good news for keeping the instability a little lower. Still, CAPE’s of 1,500 J/kg are likely as far north as BHM, with … Continue reading
Severe weather analysis
Models are fairly consistent with each other in the overall pattern, and if this continues, I can already imagine the moderate risk coming out from SPC sometime today, for Friday. Upper level waves, currently from Montana to southern California, will … Continue reading
Severe weather
Please scroll down to see JB’s post about debris from the Prattville tornado. Interesting stuff. Some of my colleagues at UAH are working on the same thing on a large scale with the Lawrence County tornado of Febraury 6. They … Continue reading
Severe Weather Friday
Things appear to be coming together for a potential severe weather event in Alabama on Friday and Friday night. With the sun getting stronger and Gulf water temperatures now in the 60s and 70s, humidity and instability are easier to … Continue reading
The wedge
Cold-air damming, more commonly known as a “wedge”, is one of the most interesting phenomena in dynamic meteorology to me. It only happens a few times a year, but when it does it presents big forecast challenges. The wedge occurs … Continue reading
Spring arrives
As James mentioned earlier, Spring officially started this morning at 12:48 am CDT, when the sun was directly over the equator. Today is known as the vernal equinox, when everywhere on earth receives exactly 12 hours of daylight (we actually … Continue reading
Tornado Watch in Mississippi
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Tornado Watch, in effect until 7 am, for most of Mississippi, right up to the Alabama border. This storm system is similar in many ways to the one back on March 4. The … Continue reading
Drought easing up
We have had the most active severe weather season in Alabama so far probably since 1998, and the large-scale flow indicates this may continue into April. While we don’t need any more severe weather, the bright side of all this … Continue reading
