Author Archives: Scott Brown

Flash Flood Warning for Parts of Limestone, Morgan, Lawrence Co. Until 8:00 pm

At 538 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 3 inches in 1 hour. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. Continue reading →

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EXPIRED — Flash Flood Warning for Parts of Colbert, Lauderdale Co. Until 7:00 pm

At 501 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 3 inches in 1 hour. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. Continue reading →

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4 pm Advisory — Heavy Rains from Fred Spreading Over Portions of East and Central Cuba

Fred remains within an area of moderate southwesterly vertical wind shear, and the model guidance generally indicates that this shear will continue during the next day or so. Since it will also take time for the system to recover after its passage over Cuba, only gradual strengthening is indicated during the next day or two. Continue reading →

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4 pm Advisory — PTC-7 Upgraded to a Tropical Depression, May Become Tropical Storm Grace Within the Next Few Hours

Over the past few hours, the system moved just to the north of a buoy owned by the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute. The buoy’s winds backed from northwest to west to south, indicating that the system has a closed surface circulation. Continue reading →

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PTC-7, 1 pm Advisory — Disturbance Producing Winds Just Below Tropical Storm Strength

Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the system remains an open wave, but maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm by Saturday. Continue reading →

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TD Fred, 1pm Advisory — Fred Producing Heavy Rains as it Moves Along Cuba’s Northern Coast

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today. After that, slow strengthening is expected, and Fred could become a tropical storm again tonight or Saturday. Continue reading →

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10 am Advisory — Fred Moving Along the Northern Coast of Cuba

Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the Florida Keys on Saturday, where a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect. Continue reading →

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National Hurricane Center Now Watching Potential Tropical Cyclone 7 Over the Central Atlantic

On the forecast track, the system is expected to approach the Leeward Islands on Saturday, move over the Leeward Islands Saturday night and Sunday, and then be near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Sunday night and Monday. Continue reading →

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7 pm Advisory — NOAA & Air Force Reserve Aircraft Currently Investigating Tropical Depression Fred

On the forecast track, Fred is expected to move along or just north of eastern and central Cuba tonight and Friday, and be near the Florida Keys and southern Florida on Saturday. Continue reading →

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4 pm Advisory — Tropical Storm Watch Issued for the Florida Keys & Portions of South Florida

Fred remains poorly organized at this time. While the low-level circulation looks more closed than it did earlier, the center is broad and may have multiple vortices rotating around it. Continue reading →

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