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COLD FRONT GETTING CLOSE: I am watching our Hamilton SKYCAM observations closely; the cold front is moving through as I write this at 3:09 p.m. The winds have shifted to the northwest, and the temperature has dropped to 63 degrees. We note the rain total there is 0.86″, considerably higher than forecast. Up in Memphis, they are hovering in the mid 40s with a chilly north wind.
The band of showers and a few storms on the front is just north of Tuscaloosa and Birmingham; the rain will be moving through those cities during the afternoon drive home time. Looks like rain will be much lighter over on the eastern side of the state in Anniston and Gadsden.
Watching a pretty awesome shelf cloud now on our Tuscaloosa SKYCAM. Click on the SKYCAM link over on the left sidebar and you can see all the images and data on the web.
COLDER WEATHER RETURNS: We are doing to drop temperatures a bit in our forecast for the next couple of days; it now looks like we won’t reach 60 tomorrow, and a light freeze seems likely by early Friday and Saturday morning. The sky will be partly sunny tomorrow, and completely clear on Friday and Saturday. Most places will be somewhere between 28 and 35 degrees early Friday and Saturday.
A few clouds will show up by Sunday, but the day will be dry.
NEXT WEEK: We will go ahead and move the main chance of rain from Tuesday to Wednesday of next week based on the 12Z GFS run. There is plenty of model madness beyond seven days; I would not trust what you see. But we have seen enough evidence to make the change for that rain event. We might see some pretty decent rain, but for now the severe weather parameters seems to be a bit out of phase. We will have a much better look at that system this weekend as it forms to the west of Alabama.
LONG RANGE: You can pretty much toss the GFS solution… every run is different. No agreement with the ECMWF. I still think we have great potential for one or two active weather systems in the November 10-20 time frame. And, some very cold air will be parked over the northern part of the continent; you have to wonder if we can get a big, phased system that will pull some that down this way. Mid-November looks very interesting.
I sure enjoyed the visit with the third graders at Hayden Elementary today… look for them on the KIDCAM on ABC 33/40 News today at 5:00! Thanks to the lunchroom ladies for the goodies too. J.B. will keep the blog updated with fresh information this evening; I will have the next Weather Xtreme video posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
