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THIS AFTERNOON: What a gorgeous afternoon across the fine state of Alabama… blue sky, sunshine, and temperatures in the 70s. But, well to the west, snow is falling over much of Colorado and the mountains of New Mexico, and that system will move northeast, dragging a cold front through Alabama tomorrow night.
The sky becomes mostly cloudy, and we will mention some risk of light rain late tomorrow, tomorrow night, and into Friday morning. Rain should be light and spotty; the 12Z NAM is printing only 0.09″ for Birmingham, so some places might not get enough rain to really wet the pavement.
COLDER FRIDAY: Friday will be a raw day, with low clouds, some light rain or drizzle during the morning, and temperatures in the 50s much of the day. We will be lucky to reach the low 60s. The sky should clear Friday night, just in time for the high school football games around the state.
WONDERFUL WEEKEND: Look for sunny cool days and clear cold nights Saturday and Sunday with highs in the 60s and lows in the 30s. Best chance of frost and a freeze for the valleys will come early Sunday with a clear sky and light wind.
NEXT WEEK: We stay dry for the first half of the week (Halloween looks delightful)… there is great model disagreement on the potential system that will impact Alabama Thursday or Friday of next week; the latest GFS looks pretty benign. See the Weather Xtreme video for more long range ideas.
RENA WEAKENS: Our hurricane in the Caribbean looks pretty ragged, and hurricane hunter data shows that winds have decreased to 85 mph. So, the good news is that it now looks like Rena won’t reach major hurricane status as it moves over Cozumel and Cancun late in the week. No change in the track guidance; Rena will take a right as it hits the southern Gulf of Mexico, and should be a weakening tropical storm on the north coast of Cuba by the end of the weekend.
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I had a great time today visiting with 6th graders at Berry Middle School in Hoover and Brookwood Forest Elementary in Mountain Brook; be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News… the next Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….