QUIET MORNING: The sky is mostly fair across Alabama this morning; we will rise into the low 80s today with a mix of sun and clouds… a few showers could show up this afternoon or tonight, but they should be widely scattered. Continue reading →

SUMMER IN OCTOBER: As expected, we have a good supply of sunshine across Alabama this afternoon with temperatures in the 88-91 degree range for most communities. Showers are just about impossible to find. The weather won’t change much over the weekend with mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only isolated afternoon showers. Highs will be close to 90 tomorrow, and in the upper 80s Sunday. Continue reading →

SUMMER-LIKE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND: A strong upper high will remain anchored over the Deep South through the weekend, meaning little change in our weather. Mostly sunny days, fair nights, highs in the 87-92 degree range… about 10 degrees above average for early October in Alabama. A few small, short lived showers are possible each afternoon, but the chance of any one community seeing rain is only 5-10 percent. Continue reading →

BONE CRUSHING SUBSIDENCE: A strong upper high is over Alabama, and the associated sinking air (subsidence) is preventing any showers from forming. We have a field of fair weather cumulus clouds over the state, and with a good supply of sunshine temperatures are in the 87-91 degree range, ten degrees above average for early October in Alabama. Continue reading →

RIDGE RULES: A strong upper ridge will hold across Alabama and the Deep South, along with much of the eastern U.S., through the weekend. This means more of the same; mostly sunny days, fair nights, and afternoon temperatures well above average with highs mostly in the 88-91 degree range. Afternoon showers, while possible, will remain few and far between…. odds of any one spot getting wet are only around 5 percent each day. So small that we won’t mention it in our formal forecast. Continue reading →

ENDLESS SUMMER: A strong upper high will remain parked over the eastern third of the nation for the next five to seven days, meaning temperatures here will remain well above average. And, while we are experiencing October heat, many places in Montana are seeing their first snow of the season. Continue reading →

AUGUST, OR OCTOBER? A strong upper high will remain the big player in Alabama weather for the next five to seven days, meaning little change in our weather through the weekend. Temperatures will be about 10 degrees above average during the afternoon hours, with highs in the 87 to 90 degree range. Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and few, if any showers. Chance of any one spot getting wet each afternoon is only in the 5 to 10 percent range, not really high enough to mention in our formal forecast. Continue reading →

OCTOBER HEAT: The average high for Birmingham today (October 2) is 80; temperatures this afternoon are generally in the 85 to 89 degree range with a good supply of sunshine. As usual, Tuscaloosa is the hot spot with 90 degrees. We note a few very small, isolated showers over the northern third of the state… they will end once the sun goes down later this evening. Continue reading →

UPPER HIGH RULES: We are thankful the upper high broke down last week, which allowed most of Alabama to get some beneficial rain; Birmingham’s official total for the week was 3.43″, but some places had over five inches of rain during the week. It was needed since October is usually our driest month of the year. It was also a week when many communities enjoyed highs in the 70s with the clouds and rain.

But… the ridge is back. That means unseasonable warmth, and few, if any showers. Chance of any one spot getting wet later today is only about one in five, and odds are even lower each day for the rest of the week. Continue reading →

REST OF THE WEEK: A strong upper high will rebuild across the Deep South in coming days, meaning unseasonably warm afternoons and few, if any showers with mostly sunny days, fair nights.. The chance of any one spot getting wet tomorrow is only about one in five, and even lower each day for the rest of the week (10 percent or less). Afternoon highs will rise into the mid 80s tomorrow, followed by upper 80s Wednesday through Friday. The average high for Birmingham this week (the first week of October) is in the upper 70s. Continue reading →