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When the summer weather pattern rolls around – as it already has in spite of the fact that summer officially begins tomorrow – I do think about just repeating the video when the pattern remains so unchanged. Then I wonder if anyone would actually catch that fact. But I did not do that this morning on Father’s Day 2010. But I will admit there were many more storms yesterday than I anticipated. A number of severe thunderstorm warnings were issued for parts of North and Central Alabama along with several flash flood warnings stemming from the heavy downpours accompanying those storms.
The overall weather pattern will see very little change for the next week with a strong ridge holding strong mainly across the eastern half of the country. Traveling storm systems in the form of short wave troughs will dampen the ridge from time to time, but not enough to really change our weather much. I expect to see highs in the mid 90s with morning lows in the 70 to 75 range for the upcoming week. Those highs could nudge into the upper 90s, too.
The QPF forecasts suggest a completely precipitation free week but I do believe with the heat and humidity in place we will continue to see the potential for isolated storms each day. Because of the isolated nature of the storms, most of us will remain dry.
While we’re stuck in a somewhat monotonous pattern, active weather continues for the northern tier of the US with severe storms including a moderate risk of severe weather today across parts of Iowa, South Dakota, and Nebraska surrounded by a slight risk area from extreme western Kentucky all the way to Montana. The slight risk area changes somewhat in size and shape for Days 2 and 3 but still encompasses a large area from Ohio to the Dakotas.
Tropics for the Atlantic remain quiet with only one disturbed area of weather in the vicinity of Puerto Rico moving steadily west-northwestward. In the Pacific, however, two storms are active – Blas and Celia.
Looking further afield, the GFS does not show much change into the second week of the period – referred to here as voodoo country. But there is a small hint at a much deeper trough on the East Coast around the end of June/first of July. I’d love to see that because it could mean a bit of a cool down, but it is voodoo country plus a feature that wasn’t in yesterday’s output, so I’ll use good judgment and not jump on that despite my remaining hopefully optimistic.
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I hope you have the chance to honor your father on this Father’s Day for 2010. My dad was a very quiet but powerful influence on my life. It would be nice to tell him in person, but I will have to be content with honoring his spirit. James Spann will be back with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video first thing tomorrow morning. Be cautious about the heat and Godspeed.
-Brian-
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