Published on: August 29, 2008 at 6:28 PM

The 18Z model set is in…

Confidence is growing in a solution with landfall between Cameron and Buras, Louisiana sometime early next week, Monday night or Tuesday morning. Confidence is also growing that there will be little impact on the northern half of Alabama next week; all of the serious action inland most likely will be to the west, over Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Southeast Texas.

While the Alabama coast will see some wind and rain on this track, the chance of a damaging storm surge is low for Gulf Shores and Orange Beach.

But, remember, we are still early in the game and all of this could change. Everyone from Corpus Christi, Texas to Panama City, Florida will need to monitor the progress of Gustav in coming days.