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Fog this morning, so if you are reading this early, be careful as you head out. Our Skycams should show the fog to be rather thick. Drier air still filtering into the region, so I expect the fog to burn off fairly quickly leaving us with a great day. Temperatures today should be fine as we see afternoon highs in the upper 60s.
The theme for the next week is twofold: dry and cold. The dry air will be invading Central Alabama as the upper trough swings through today. We should see dew points in the 40s.
But a new short wave will dig the trough even deeper Monday and Tuesday. This will bring even colder and dryer air to the Southeast with our coldest air yet this Fall. In fact, we are going to get very close to freezing on Tuesday and perhaps even Wednesday morning. The coldest air will arrive Monday and Tuesday, but as the trough moves steadily east, the cold air is forced off to the east. However, with a surface high centered over Mississippi and Alabama, we cold see very cold temperatures on Wednesday morning as we set up excellent radiational cooling. How cold we get Tuesday morning will depend in part on how much the wind drops off. The latest GFS still suggests that we may have some wind Tuesday morning, so the thermometers will be forced down by the brute force of the cold air. Wednesday morning radiational cooling should help drop the temperature again to near the freezing mark.
Of course, we are not a one number place as James Spann points out. Actually, there are no locations that I know of that are one number places. So we’ll see a wide variation due to terrain. Sheltered valleys are likely to see frost on Tuesday and Wednesday morning. Time to think about protecting any tender vegetation that might be affected by the cold.
The overall pattern moderates toward the end of the week with temperatures moderating as well. We should return to seasonal values for highs and lows (lower 70s and 40s) by the end of next week while the weather remains dry.
And the GFS, both toward the end of next week and well into voodoo country, seems to be maintaining a relatively zonal flow with a distinct absence of high amplitude weather systems. But we all know the prognosis that far out is likely to change even with the next model run.
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STORM ALERT XTREME: Interested in severe weather and want to be trained as a storm spotter? Want to join the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher team? Our annual training event, Storm Alert Xtreme, will be Saturday, November 15th, from 9:30 to 3:30 at the BJCC during the annual Birmingham International Auto Show. I will be doing a basic and advanced training session on storm spotting plus you’ll learn from one of the best weather researchers in the country, our own Dr. Tim Coleman. We encourage all of our Skywatchers to attend this every year; you simply cannot get enough training. And everyone that attends Storm Alert Xtreme gets free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show. There is no admission charge and no need to register. Just show up, but get there early for a good seat. We had a packed house last year.
I had a great time with Parker Towing on Thursday at the christening of their latest towboat. Scroll down a bit to see a few of the pictures I took of the event. Thanks for viewing the Weather Xtreme Video today. I hope that you have a great weekend. Godspeed.
-Brian-
