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DRY THROUGH WEDNESDAY: Not much change in our weather in the short term; mostly sunny mild days and clear cool nights through mid-week. Highs today and tomorrow in the 70 to 75 degree range; some potential for mid to upper 70s Wednesday and Thursday.
TO THE WEST: A strong upper trough will move out of the Rockies Wednesday, and bring the risk of strong to severe storms to the nation’s heartland Wednesday afternoon… see the Weather Xtreme video for the associated graphics. SPC moves the severe weather risk to the east on Thursday, roughly in the area from Houston to St. Louis. Dynamics will be pretty good, but instability values will be marginal, so a major outbreak doesn’t look likely.
HERE IN ALABAMA: Looks like the best chance of showers will come from about 12:00 midnight Thursday night through 12:00 noon Friday. Severe weather is not expected here with the main dynamics well to the north; the GFS shows a vertically stacked low around Minneapolis. There is also little surfaced based instability, especially with the timing of the front. Unfortunately it doesn’t looks like a big rain event, in fact I figure most places around here will see only a quarter-inch of rain or less. Maybe enough to get the pavement wet, and nothing more.
WEEKEND PEEK: The GFS shows most of the showers out of here by midday Friday, and the weather looks excellent for the weekend with a new surge of cool and dry air. Looks like highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s, with 30s for the colder valleys Saturday and Sunday. Lots of sun; perfect conditions for football or anything else.
VOODOO LAND: Watch the Weather Xtreme video and you will see the big system the 00Z GFS serves up for November 15, but being in the land of voodoo it might be long gone on the next run. The weather does look potentially active during the latter half of the month; lets remember that we are in the fall tornado season now.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left. We will record a few episode tonight; it will be posted by 11:00 p.m. or so.
TWITTER: Don’t forget, you can follow our news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. And, my personal Twitter feed is here if you want to keep up with my adventures in life. Twitter is a short messaging service you can receive via the web, cell phone, or IM.
STORM ALERT XTREME: Want to be trained as a storm spotter? Want to join the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher team? Our annual training event, Storm Alert Xtreme, is coming up on Saturday November 15 at the BJCC during the annual Birmingham International Auto Show. You will be trained by the best SKYWARN trainer in the nation, our own Brian Peters (he has trained over 6,000 Alabama storm spotters over the years), and learn from one of the most brilliant weather researchers in the country, our own Dr. Tim Coleman. We encourage all of our Skywatchers to attend this every year; you simply cannot get enough training. We will begin at 9:30, and be out by 3:30. And, everyone that attends Storm Alert Xtreme gets free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show. There is no admission charge, and no need to register. Just show up, but get there early for a good seat. We had a packed house last year.
I am headed to Gibson Elementary in Birmingham for a weather program this morning… I will have the afternoon Weather Xtreme video posted by 3:30 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!