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DRY THROUGH MID-WEEK: Not much change in our weather through Thursday; mostly sunny mild days and clear cool nights. The GFS and the NAM are going their separate ways on Wednesday; the GFS MOS is printing a high of 80 for Birmingham, while the NAM is showing a high of 68. The truth, as usual, is somewhere in-between those values; we figure highs will be mostly in the 70s, although parts of West Alabama could flirt with 80 degrees Thursday afternoon.
SHOWERS ON FRIDAY: The 12Z GFS is a little slower; it suggests the primary chance of showers will come from about 3:00 a.m. through 3:00 p.m. Friday. Still, no major rain event is expected; totals of a quarter-inch or less are likely across the state, and severe weather should not be a problem with a relatively stable airmass and only limited moisture.
A COOLER WEEKEND: Cooler and drier air blows in here Friday night, and it looks like a cool and dry weekend ahead, with a sunny sky both Saturday and Sunday with highs in the 60s and lows well down in the 40s. The colder valleys will be in the 30s. Yet another great weekend for football, or viewing the fall colors that are exploding on the Alabama hillsides.
VOODOO LAND: The 12Z GFS has backed off on the November 15 storm set-up, taking the trough and splitting it; the northern segment passes well to the north of here, and the southern segment backs down into the Gulf of California. This, of course, will probably change again. The pattern does seem to be setting up for active weather during the latter half of the month; I would not be shocked to see one or two severe weather setups.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left. We will record a new show tonight; it will be posted by 11:00 p.m. or so.
STORM ALERT XTREME: Want to be trained as a storm spotter? Want to join the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher team? Our annual training event, Storm Alert Xtreme, is coming up on Saturday November 15 at the BJCC during the annual Birmingham International Auto Show. You will be trained by the best SKYWARN trainer in the nation, our own Brian Peters (he has trained over 6,000 Alabama storm spotters over the years), and learn from one of the most brilliant weather researchers in the country, our own Dr. Tim Coleman. We encourage all of our Skywatchers to attend this every year; you simply cannot get enough training. We will begin at 9:30, and be out by 3:30. And, everyone that attends Storm Alert Xtreme gets free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show. There is no admission charge, and no need to register. Just show up, but get there early for a good seat. We had a packed house last year.
I had a great time speaking to the first graders today at Gibson Elementary in Birmingham… be watching for them on the KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…..
