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DRY AND MILD THROUGH MID-WEEK: Afternoon temperatures will be well above normal through Thursday across Alabama; some West Alabama communities could flirt with 80 degrees by Thursday afternoon as we see strong warming in advance of a storm system moving through the Great Plains.
TO THE WEST: SPC maintains a slight risk of severe weather tomorrow in the broad area from Dallas/Fort Worth to Minneapolis, and on Thursday from Houston to Paducah, Kentucky. The upper support for this system will be well to the north of Alabama by the end of the week, and by the time the rain reaches our state we don’t expect any severe weather.
FRIDAY SHOWERS: Looks like the best chance of showers will come from about 3:00 a.m. through 3:00 p.m. Friday. Rain should be light; amounts generally under one-quarter of an inch, so this won’t be a big rain event. And, it looks like the showers will be gone in time for high school football Friday evening.
A COOLER WEEKEND: Look for a sharp change to cooler weather over the weekend; generally speaking highs will be in the 60s and lows in the 40s; the colder valleys should reach the 30s by daybreak Sunday. Both Saturday and Sunday should feature a sunny sky; yet another great weekend for football.
NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: The 00Z GFS brings in a short wave on Veteran’s Day, Tuesday of next week, with a chance of showers. Nothing heavy, and understand the timing could change. The big story is around November 15; the latest GFS run is showing a strong, phased upper trough approaching that would bring a risk of strong to severe storms along with heavy rain, IF the model is correct. Actually, I hope this isn’t the case since November 15 is the date for Storm Alert Xtreme! Lots can change between now and then, but I do expect some type of thunderstorm event at mid-month. We will be waiting and watching.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left. Brian will post the show notes for the new episode shortly.
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STORM ALERT XTREME: Want to be trained as a storm spotter? Want to join the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher team? Our annual training event, Storm Alert Xtreme, is coming up on Saturday November 15 at the BJCC during the annual Birmingham International Auto Show. You will be trained by the best SKYWARN trainer in the nation, our own Brian Peters (he has trained over 6,000 Alabama storm spotters over the years), and learn from one of the most brilliant weather researchers in the country, our own Dr. Tim Coleman. We encourage all of our Skywatchers to attend this every year; you simply cannot get enough training. We will begin at 9:30, and be out by 3:30. And, everyone that attends Storm Alert Xtreme gets free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show. There is no admission charge, and no need to register. Just show up, but get there early for a good seat. We had a packed house last year.
I am headed down to Hale County this morning; I will be speaking at Moundville Elementary… I will be back in the office by early afternoon and the next Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 3:30 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!
