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WET MONDAY: Periods of light rain are likely today across Alabama as we begin Thanksgiving week. Rain amounts should be generally light, but the NAM is now printing 0.68″ for Birmingham, but the GFS is drier with 0.39″, and I think closer to the truth. I still think average amounts today will be around one-quarter inch, with isolated amounts to one-half inch on the high side. Stable air means no thunder.
TOMORROW THROUGH THANKSGIVING: Still looks like great travel weather as we approach Thanksgiving. The sky will clear tonight, and we expect lots of sunshine during the mid-week period. The high tomorrow and Wednesday will be in the mid to upper 50s, followed by low 60s on Thanksgiving Day. Much of the nation will be dry; oddly enough some of the heaviest rain Wednesday will be in places where rain normally isn’t an issue, like Phoenix. See the Weather Xtreme video for all of the details and maps.
RAIN RETURNS FRIDAY: Still looks like a wet day on Friday, but the bargain hunters really don’t care. Rain is likely statewide Friday, and this event should bring one-half inch of rain; maybe 3/4″ on the high end. The rain should taper off late Friday afternoon, and there is a chance it will be gone in time for the high school football playoff games Friday night (but no guarantee this early in the week!).
IRON BOWL: Looks like benign weather for this year’s Auburn/Alabama game in Tuscaloosa. We note some runs of the GFS have hinted at some lingering light rain on Saturday; the latest run in the house (the 06Z run) suggests Saturday will be dry and cool with afternoon temperatures in the 50s.
And, we note that Sunday looks cool and dry as well as everyone heads back home after the long Thanksgiving holiday weekend.
INTO THE LAND OF VOODOO: The GFS continues the idea of a very cold pattern developing over the eastern half of the nation in the December 5-6 time frame; see the Weather Xtreme video for the details. It is going to be hard to warm up with so much cold air covering the continent.
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I will be speaking at Cherokee Bend Elementary in Mountain Brook this morning… then back into the office where the afternoon Weather Xtreme video will be produced and posted by 3:30. Enjoy the day!