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RIGHT NOW: A nice band of light to moderate rain is moving across the northern and western part of Alabama this morning; that will continue moving to the east, and based on the radar returns and the slow movement, it looks like many places will have a decent chance of getting one-half inch of rain, a little more than the quarter-inch figure we have been throwing out here this week. The boundary layer remains stable, so I don’t expect much thunder; just a nice morning rain.
The rain will end from west to east during the midday hours, and a surge of cool and dry air will roll in here tonight. No change in our thinking through the weekend, dry with temperatures below average. The high tomorrow and Saturday will be at or just over 50, and another surge of cooler air Sunday will drop the high into the upper 40s. Early morning lows will be below freezing.
NEXT WEEK: The 06Z GFS continues the idea of a dynamic weather system in here next week with a good chance of rain and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night, with potential of one to two inches statewide. That will sure help to knock out the rain deficiency for the year at Birmingham, which right now is at two inches. Then, much colder air rolls in here for Wednesday and Thursday; in fact we might have a hard time getting out of the 30s on these days with morning lows around 20 by daybreak Thursday. The valleys will be well down in the teens, and this could be the coldest air we have seen so far this season.
VOODOO COUNTRY: Watch the Weather Xtreme video and see the GFS North Atlantic Oscillation outlook; the model shows the NAO trending positive in the December 18-25 time frame; that doesn’t bode well for those of you dreaming of a White Christmas. A positive NAO favors ridging over the eastern U.S., with the cold air out west. Time will tell…
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I will be doing a weather program this morning at Adamsville Elementary School… then back to the office and the afternoon edition of the Weather Xtreme video should be posted by 3:30. Enjoy the day and stay dry!
