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ANOTHER COLD ONE: With a clear sky and diminishing wind, temperatures will drop steadily after sunset, and by daybreak tomorrow we figure most communities will land in the 17 to 22 degree range. The coldest valleys will be close to 10, and the ridge tops above 1,500 feet will be in the upper 20s in the inversion layer. But, everyone needs to plan on yet another hard freeze.
A WARMING TREND: A nice warming trend begins tomorrow afternoon; still looks like mid to upper 40s tomorrow, mid to upper 50s Wednesday, and low 60s by Friday as the upper pattern flattens across the nation. Moisture will increase on Friday, and a few showers could show up by Friday evening.
THE WEEKEND: Some model madness is creeping into the weekend outlook. We will still mention a chance of some light rain, or a few showers, Friday night into Saturday morning. Amounts should be light; generally in the 1/4 to 1/2 inch range. In fact, the 12Z GFS really hints at amounts of under a quarter of an inch for most places. Temperatures will be in the cool 40s much of the day Saturday with a mostly cloudy sky.
Our ongoing public forecast continue to show Sunday as a cool and dry day with a high in the 50s, but watch the Weather Xtreme video and you can see how the 12Z GFS brings another batch of rain in here Sunday with a weak wave rising along the front, pushing it northward as a warm front. We won’t buy into this yet; let’s see the 18Z and 00Z runs before we make any changes for Sunday. Just understand the idea is on the table.
NEXT WEEK: Looks like the surface front will be north of Alabama Monday and Tuesday; these days should be mostly dry and mild with the best chance of rain along the I-40 corridor through Arkansas and Tennessee. The GFS continues the idea of a significant rain event Wednesday or Thursday of next week, with some possibility of a brief change to snow on the back side of the departing precipitation.
THE LAND OF VOODOO COUNTRY: We continue to see occasional signs of a major rain/storm event in the Feb 2-3 time frame, with much colder air and some snow on the back side of the storm. All voodoo for now.
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I had a great time today seeing a big home school group down at Calvary Baptist Church in Childersburg; be watching for them on the KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News. The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
