Anyone remember the song by Wilson Pickett?
“I’m gonna wait till the midnight hour
That’s when my love comes tumbling down
I’m gonna wait till the midnight hour
When there’s no one else around
I’m gonna take you girl and hold you
And do all the things I told you
In the midnight hour
Yes I am
Ooh yes I am”
SPC won’t be issuing the day one convective outlook until 1:00 a.m. local time… but everything still looks on for the potential for severe storms in Alabama tomorrow. Looks like we will need to highlight the 10:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m. time frame as the highest risk, based on our in-house RPM model.
Quick peek at severe weather parameters from the 00Z run of the NAM:
CAPE: 2521 j/kg
Lifted index: -7.1
Significant tornado parameter (STP): 7.36
0 to 1 km energy helicity index (EHI): 3.17
Craven/Brooks significant severe weather index: 84,199
All of those are red flags… the RPM suggests we will have discrete cells by late morning, with no MCS on the Gulf to cut us off. Sure looks like we have to deal with tornado warnings.
Gonna grab a power nap; I will have a full discussion and new video by 6:15.
