A beautiful Easter Sunday is in progress across Central Alabama. Highs will be in the 70s today with lots of sunshine. Clouds will increase from the west later today. A lake wind advisory is in effect for this afternoon and tonight as southerly winds will be increasing ahead of our next storm system.
SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK TO THE WEST TODAY: A significant outbreak of severe weather, including tornadoes will occur today to the west of Alabama, over Southeast Texas, southern Louisiana and Southwest Mississippi.
SEVERE THREAT INCREASING TONIGHT: Conditions will start coming together tonight for increasing thunderstorms after sundown today. A strong upper low will cut off over the southern Plains, setting the stage for increasing upper level winds. A strong low level jet will edge into Alabama late Sunday evening, sparking elevated thunderstorms. As instability gradually increases after midnight, the storms will become surface based. There will be plenty of wind shear, so storms will start becoming severe during the pre-dawn hours. Large hail will be possible.
MORE SEVERE WEATHER TOMORROW: The overnight storms will push onto the east, but a relatively warm, moist airmass will remain in place. With daytime hearing, storms will form and intensify as the upper trough and cold front push eastward. How much the airmass can destabilize will be the question the further north you go. Severe storms will be possible across the entire area during the day.
Parts of South and South Central Alabama might see an enhanced risk of severe weather.
All modes of severe weather will be possible on Monday, including large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes.
TUESDAY AND BEYOND: Showers and storms will exit into Georgia during the morning hours, but with the upper low close by to the north, skies will be fairly slow to clear. A nice ridge of high pressure builds in during the Wednesday-Friday time frame.
