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STORMS STAY NORTH: We do note SPC has the northeast corner of Alabama in a slight risk of severe storms for tonight, but the bulk of the stormy weather will remain over Kentucky, Tennessee, Georgia, and the Carolinas, bypassing our state to the north and east. The upper ridge should keep most places dry through Friday.
Note that Birmingham is reporting 91 degrees at 2:00… certainly that is hot, but nothing like the upper 90s advertised by model guidance. Like we have mentioned here, the soil moisture is excellent, and keeping temperatures below those values advertised by the models. Most likely, most places will peak in the low 90s tomorrow and Friday as well. Of course, the air is very humid, so heat index values are high. Birmingham’s dewpoint is 70, making for a heat index of 96.
WEEKEND PREVIEW: Looks like the ridge will indeed hold through Saturday, but Sunday it begins to retrograde, and the door will be open for a chance of scattered showers and storms Sunday afternoon. The high will be in the low 90s Saturday, but dropping into the upper 80s on Sunday.
NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: The core of the heat next week will be be west of Alabama; so it looks like very routine June conditions here with warm and muggy days, some risk of scattered showers and storms on a daily basis, and highs in the upper 80s. Still no sign of any tropical storm formation for the next week or so.
AT THE BEACH: Excellent weather on the Gulf Coast through the weekend with mostly sunny days and fair nights. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the mid 80s, with mid 90s inland. SSTs (sea surface temperatures) are running in the upper 80s along the Alabama Gulf Coast.
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