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JUNE IN ALABAMA: You expect our weather to be hot during June, July, and August, and that is exactly what you will have through the weekend. Statistical guidance is spitting out highs of 99 degrees for Birmingham over the next few days, but thanks to the good soil moisture (which, by the way, is decreasing with each dry day) actual highs should be confined to the low to mid 90s. For example, at 2:00 Birmingham is reporting 91 degrees this afternoon; both the GFS and the NAM had highs today in the 95 to 98 degree range; way too hot.
Nothing on the radar, and the upper ridge should keep us generally dry through Saturday. Highs will remain in the low to mid 90s, and the best chance of an afternoon storm will be over the northeast corner of the state. Storms could be a little more likely Sunday afternoon from Gadsden north to Chattanooga, but the rest of Alabama should remain dry with the ridge.
NEXT WEEK: The core of the heat bubble shifts to the west early in the week, meaning a chance of scattered showers and storms returning Monday through Wednesday, with highs dropping back to the 88 to 91 degree range. But, the GFS is showing the ridge expanding again during the latter half of the week, which would mean hotter and drier weather for Alabama.
TROPICS: Check out the Weather Xtreme video this afternoon; we have a tropical depression that has formed, but it is in the eastern Pacific, and not in the Atlantic. This could become a tropical storm before making landfall along the Mexican coast Friday night. Some of the moisture from this could move up into the Southwest U.S. over the weekend. The Atlantic remains quiet.
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