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MOSTLY DRY THROUGH MID-WEEK: You can see the progression of the dry air in the dewpoints this morning… the dewpoint at Huntsville is down to 62; Birmingham reports 68, while it is a muggy 72 at Montgomery. Showers and storms this afternoon should fire along and south of the dry line, which should be around U.S. 80 at midday, or along a line from Demopolis to Montgomery to Opelika. Over North Alabama, the day should be mostly sunny with lower humidity and a high close to 90.
Look for mostly sunny days and clear pleasant nights tomorrow and Wednesday; we will be well down in the 60s tomorrow and Wednesday morning… some of the cooler spots across North Alabama could visit the upper 50s. Not bad for late June in Alabama. Thursday looks mostly dry, although a few isolated storms could show up late in the day.
FRIDAY AND THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND: Moist air returns, and the weather looks very typical for the Fourth of July with partly sunny days and the chance of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms Friday through Monday. Highs will be around 90, with lows in the low 70s. There is some hint showers and storms could be a little more numerous Sunday and Monday thanks to a surface boundary just north of here; we will fine tune the forecast as we get closer to the weekend.
TROPICS: The tropical wave that was over the western Caribbean late last week has been struggling over the Yucatan peninsula this weekend, and shows no sign of any organization this morning. We will keep an eye on that, and the old surface front that will drift into the northern Gulf tomorrow.
VOODOO LAND: The good news is that we see no sign of any serious 5940 meter 500 mb heat bubbles around here through mid-July, so fairly standard summer weather can be expected during the next 15 days.
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