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I really don’t see much change in the overall weather situation for Alabama today and tomorrow… hot and humid weather continues with the ever-present risk of scattered, mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Water vapor images this morning continue to show the deepest moisture over the western side of the state, so the storms should be a little more numerous west of I-65. But, a few decent downpours are still possible over the eastern counties. Some spots in Northeast Alabama reported almost one inch of rain from thunderstorms last night. Afternoon highs will remain in the low 90s, generally between 90 and 93.
WEEKEND PEEK: We will expect an increase in the coverage of showers and storms by Friday and Saturday with a nice upper air trough forming over the eastern third of the nation, and a surface front approaching from the north. On these two days, rainfall amounts should average between one-half and one inch for most locations. But, this is summer so even then the rainfall distribution won’t be even. Some folks will be delighted with the rain they get, but others disappointed.
The 00Z GFS is back on the dry air bandwagon for North Alabama on Sunday and Monday. We will continue to mention the best chance of showers and storms on these days over South Alabama, but don’t be surprised if the front hangs up a little farther to the north compared to what you see on the model. Sunday is July 1, you know, and fronts rarely make it into South Alabama during July.
LONG RANGE: The good news is that we still don’t see any sign of excessive heat (upper 90s or triple digits) for any long period of time; the GFS continues to show the primary heat bubble over North America over the western part of the U.S., with a mean trough over the east. This should keep temperatures and rainfall here near normal despite the very dry soil conditions.
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I will have the next Weather Xtreme video posted by 3:30 this afternoon………
