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My headline says it all. The weather pattern for Central Alabama is simply showing little sign of change. That means we maintain a trough on the east coast and a high over the Rockies at least for much of the upcoming week. Next weekend the GFS is showing a change to that pattern as the ridge over the Atlantic becomes stronger over the Southeast. As it does the trough will weaken and the main westerlies will be forced further north. However, in spite of the pattern change, we’ll remain rather moist, so the pattern of daily showers is not likely to change.
Be sure to scroll down for additional posts on the storms that developed yesterday. Part of Alabama were under a severe thunderstorm watch for a time plus some of the storms got very strong with isolated damage. I experienced the edge of the storm that prompted the warning for Calhoun and Talladega counties yesterday. I was posting my audio podcast when the outflow from the storm reached Mt. Cheaha. Trees began bending and there were several close lightning strikes. I don’t think the wind got over ab out 40 mph but it sure was exciting for a time.
The GFS MOS temperature guidance has been horrible. I think we’ll stay primarily in the 90s for highs for the upcoming week. Some spots may only get to 88 or 89 as the first showers develop in some locations putting a lid on the temperature rise. I think you can pretty much count on 92 to 96 for highs almost every day for the next week. Wednesday and Thursday could be quite hot with upper 90s and perhaps some spots reaching three digit values.
While scattered showers can be expected almost every day, it does appear that we might see fewer showers on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. July 4th and 5th could be some of the hotter days we’ve seen.
The GFS is showing a sharpening to the east coast trough toward the end of the week. This could bring about another frontal boundary sagging into Tennessee and North Alabama. No widespread rain, but perhaps like we’ve see the last couple of days, an increase in the coverage of storms which will help with the overall drought situation. Scattered showers will not break our drought, but they will certainly give some folks a little relief.
I had a great day yesterday as my wife and I traveled to Lee County at the invitation of Tom and Mary Moore. The Moores are very active in amateur radio there and usually host a July 4th barbecue party. There were about 70 folks there and it sure was nice to greet some of the hams I worked with over the years. The ride down and back was very pleasant, too.
James Spann should be back in the saddle first thing Monday morning. I hope that you have a great week. God bless.
-Brian-
