The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 95 continues.
SUMMARY… The greatest severe threat, including the potential for strong tornadoes, should focus across parts of southeastern Alabama in the next 1-2 hours.
DISCUSSION… A small bowing line and two leading supercells ahead of it will continue to move eastward across parts of southeastern AL this morning. The low-level airmass ahead of this activity is not overly unstable, but boundary-layer instability will probably be sufficient for a persistent severe threat. Recent VWPs from KMXX and KEOX show a very favorable low-level wind profile, with 0-1 km SRH exceeding 400 m2/s2. Indeed, strong low-level rotation has been noted with both leading supercells, and a tornado threat remains apparent. A strong tornado also remains a possibility given the strength of the low-level flow and enhanced hodograph in the 0-3 km layer. Damaging winds should be a threat with the bowing line as well.
