Thunderstorms capable of producing severe gusts and isolated hail will be likely across as parts of Mississippi and Alabama today. Showers and storms are ongoing this morning, but scattered thunderstorms — some in locally dense multicellular clusters — are possible this afternoon along/ahead of the cold front. Damaging to severe gusts should be the main concern.
CAPE values will be in the 1500-2500 J/kg range. Hail probabilities also have been added in and near the “slight” wind-threat area for today. Despite the weak low/level and deep shear, forecast soundings across portions of the area indicate a deep growth zone containing with abundant moisture and buoyancy. An approximately southward-moving convective band is possible, yielding the most-concentrated severe potential.
