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Some healthy showers and storms fired up yesterday across Alabama; those lingered into the late night hours last night before finally fizzling out. There were some great nighttime lightning displays over North Alabama… I will post some great shots sent to us from Smith Lake here in a bit.
TODAY AND TOMORROW: Both the GFS and the NAM are hinting that convection might be a little less active across our state during the next 48 hours, but we will still mention the chance of a passing shower or storm in a few spots later today and tomorrow afternoon. It is really hard to leave that out of a forecast on a late July afternoon in Alabama. With a partly sunny sky both days the temperature should peak in the low 90s, a little hotter than recent days.
THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND: The same two models are hinting at a general increase in the number of showers and storms on Saturday and Sunday, but they will still be scattered, and there will be some decent intervals of sunshine. The GFS suggests that the best coverage of showers and storms will come on Sunday. Then, next week, the GFS continues to toy with the idea of drier air moving into Alabama as a surface low develops just northeast of here and moves up toward New England by mid-week. The 00Z run keeps us in moist air on Monday, but then we go dry Tuesday and Wednesday. Seems a little suspicious to me, but we will begin to scale back the chance of showers and storms on those two days.
LONG RANGE: The GFS is also becoming persistent on the idea of a hurricane forming in the Atlantic, north of Puerto Rico, around August 5, then moving northwest in the general direction of the middle Atlantic coast of the U.S. Then, it begins to recurve to the northeast just off the upper part of the Atlantic coast in the August 8-11 time frame. Needless to say, this is voodoo, but certainly a possibility.
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I will have the next Weather Xtreme video posted by 3:30 this afternoon… enjoy the day!
