The Tuesday afternoon edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme Video is available in the player below, and on iTunes…
James Spann is out gallivanting around Central Alabama somewhere supposedly talking to a school group. However, if I were him, I’d probably pull over some place with a nice shade tree and prop up to enjoy such wonderful afternoon weather. But he’s so wholesome that he’ll probably just enjoy the weather as he motors along to and from his scheduled appointment. Oh, well. That Skycam shot of Gulf Shores plus the warm afternoon temperatures in the lower 70s makes me yearn for wiggling my toes in the sand. Maybe next week…
To paraphrase James, if you liked today you’ll love tomorrow. The sunshine should be in abundant supply along with temperatures climbing into the lower or mid 70s. Clouds will increase tomorrow afternoon, so all good things must come to an end. The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked a large area centered on Arkansas for a slight risk of severe weather tomorrow. The slight risk area shifts eastward on Thursday to cover nearly all of the Southeast with the exception of the Florida peninsula.
The timing looks pretty good for us with the main threat of thunderstorms from 10 am Thursday through about 9 pm or so. There is still a concern about how unstable the atmosphere will be. The GFS and NAM MOS values keep dewpoints only into the upper 50s, so CAPE values remain a bit low while the shear or helicity values are up there. This is similar to what happened Saturday evening. I really think that we’ll see the atmosphere recover more than what the MOS values are currently showing. With the weather forecast to come through during maximum heating, we’ll have to watch small features like where the sun can break through and how well the moisture can recover. While not completely clear cut, it is looking favorable for a bigger event than the last one we had. So stay tuned.
After the front moves through Central Alabama on Thursday, we should clear out though there may still be some lingering cloudiness from the deep low over the Great Lakes. A secondary impulse will deepen the trough on the East Coast, so much colder air won’t arrive until Saturday. Saturday and Sunday will remind us that it is still winter with highs only into the 50s. We might even see some moring lows Sunday morning dip into the upper 20s.
Much of the next week promises to be dry with moderating temperatures. A weak disturbance with little moisture to work with is likely to bring clouds to the area on Wednesday, a week from tomorrow.
Getting ready to head over the Bessemer for the last in our Storm Alert Tour 2007. We will be at the Bessemer Civic Center, so I hope that you can join us. It really is a great show with lots of great weather stories. James should be back tomorrow morning with the next Weather Xtreme Video. Unless, of course, he threw all caution to the wind and has fallen asleep under that shade tree – I know, not likely!!!
-Brian-
