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Be sure and scroll down for J.B.’s Weather By The Numbers today… some really good stuff there.
Having a real hard time finding anything on the radar this afternoon… just one shower is showing up down in Choctaw County, in Southwest Alabama, near Butler. That certainly doesn’t bode well for showers this evening; most North Alabama communities will be dry.
Over the next five to seven days a ridge aloft will slowly build across Alabama and the Deep South, and that will basically mean more of the same kind of weather in coming days. We will have some risk of afternoon showers and storms on a daily basis, but they will most likely remain widely scattered, and certainly won’t offer any serious drought relief. The GFS is actually a little more aggressive on the chance of afternoon showers and storms later this week and over the weekend, but I am not totally convinced it is correct. The model has really struggled with this pattern in recent weeks, and has been consistently too wet in the 6 to 10 day range with most runs.
The 12Z GFS has also backed off a bit on the intensity of the upper ridge, and accordingly the MOS numbers are a little lower by Friday and the weekend, but they look a little too cool for me based on the dry soil. I expect low 90s around here by Friday and the weekend.
LONG RANGE: Still some hint of increased shower and thunderstorm activity around here in the June 16-17 time frame thanks to a cold front drifting down this way from the north. And, still no sign of any tropical storm formation in the Gulf of Mexico during the next two weeks.
WEATHER BRAINS: We will be taping a new 30 minute netcast tonight… it will be posted on the web and iTunes late tonight or early tomorrow.
CLIMATE BRAINS: Lots of news on both sides of the “global warming” issue in recent days.. .see the latest on our sister site called Climate Brains. There is also a forum there; we would love to hear from you.
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
