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We remain optimistic that there will be a general increase in the number of scattered showers and thunderstorms across Alabama during the next 36 hours. This is in response to a generous supply of moist air that has moved northward from the Gulf of Mexico, and an approaching surface boundary from the north. Unfortunately, rainfall distribution will not be very even; some of you will be short-changed on the rain, but other neighborhoods might see one-half to one inch of rain between now and tomorrow evening. We might even have a few strong to severe storms with potential for brief periods of strong winds.
Drier air will move into the state tomorrow night, and at this time the chance of rain looks very tiny Sunday through Tuesday. And, afternoons will be hotter with the drier air; look for daily highs in the 90 to 95 degree range. We might even have some spots in the upper 90s, approaching 100 degrees if dewpoints drop into the 40s.
LONG RANGE: The encouraging news is that the GFS is not suggesting any serious upper air high developing across the Deep South through June 23; in fact it hints of an upper trough from time to time over the eastern U.S., which would keep the most serious heat over the southwest part of the nation. And, it should mean weakening fronts approaching from time to time (like the situation today and tomorrow) that would bring periods of showers and storms to the state.
TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet this morning, and there is no sign of any tropical storm formation on the GFS through mid-month.
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I have really enjoyed being with the kids at the Double Oak Community Church Vacation Bible School this week in Mount Laurel; next week I will be at Summer Quest at Hunter Street Baptist. This is a fun time of the year to be involved in children’s ministry work. The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 3:30 this afternoon!
