TROPICAL STORM DEAN
Top winds up to 60 mph…
1045 miles east of the Lesser Antilles…
Moving W-20…
Will become a hurricane over the next 36 hours…
Model guidance tightly clustered on a solution which takes it into the Caribbean early Friday morning…
The ridge seems like it is going to hold strong north of the storm in the Caribbean and the storm will be south of Cuba by next Monday…
It does appear that it will get into the Gulf, and then the strength of the ridge to the north will be critical…
Overnight long range GFS guidance suggested NE Mexico…
A long range forecast is impossible…but it s increasingly looking like some part of the Gulf Coast will be threatened early next week…
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE
Convection with the system has increased this morning. It is not showing up in the wind field according to the Air Force plane, but it is expected to become a tropical storm later today…
The center of the depression is 250 miles east of Brownsville Texas…moving WNW 14 mph…
Will reach the coast early tomorrow morning a little north of Brownsville…
Tropical storm warnings are now flying south of Freeport, Texas…
Max winds 30 mph…
Don’t look for any relief from this system here in Alabama, but it will bring heavy rains to South Texas…
