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TODAY: Rain is falling early this morning over the northern third of Alabama; we had some fairly respectable storms earlier, during the pre-dawn hours, that produced lots of lightning and thunder, but the storms remained below severe limits in the classic sense (1″ diameter hail or larger, or 58 mph winds or greater). Moist air hangs around today, and with an upper low to the west and a stalled surface boundary to the north, we will maintain a chance of scattered showers and storms around during the day today, with the best chance along and north of I-20. The sun will be out at times, and we will rise to near 90 degrees again today with high humidity levels.
TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: An upper ridge will build across the Deep South in response to a strong upper trough out west. That means hotter afternoons and fewer showers for Alabama. The GFS is printing highs of 95/96 degrees tomorrow through Sunday, but the model has been a little too hot in recent days, and the high will probably be closer to 93/94. But, one way or another it should be the hottest weekend so far in 2010. We can’t rule out a few storms in the afternoon hours each day, but they should be few and far between thanks to the warm air aloft.
NEXT WEEK: The upper high weakens, and we will continue to broad brush next week with your standard summer forecast… partly sunny, hot days with some risk of an afternoon shower or storm. Highs next week should be close to 90 degrees.
AT THE BEACH: We are looking at mostly sunny days and fair nights along the Central Gulf Coast through the weekend with only a few isolated showers around. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low 90s inland. The sea water temperature last night at Pensacola Beach was a very warm 88 degrees.
TROPICS: A disturbance is moving through the Windward Islands and into the eastern Caribbean this morning, but surface pressures in the region are high, and upper air winds are unfavorable for tropical storm formation. The rest of the Atlantic basin remains quiet.
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