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Another warm day in store for Central Alabama with highs once again climbing to the lower 90s. But at least we are starting off the day a bit cooler with the morning lows around the upper 60s. Not much chance of rain either – maybe an isolated shower in the vicinity of the Alabama-Mississippi line. And looks like Monday will be a near carbon copy of today.
The ridge maintains itself for us into the start of the work week, but a trough moving into the northwest US will push steadily across the US and bring a front into the area late Tuesday and Wednesday. This promises to bring enhanced chances for rain and perhaps some general rainfall amounts of one to two inches, something we could certainly use.
On the North Carolina coast this morning, a slightly stronger Gabrielle is going to move across extreme eastern North Carolina as a tropical storm and then gradually turn northeastward out to sea. I’m sure the folks along the Mid-Atlantic states from New Jersey northward are glad to see that forecast.
Back home we probably won’t dry out a lot with another trough/front forecast to reach us around Friday. As the guidance stands right now, we could have another round of rain on Friday and into Saturday. Timing that far out is likely to adjust a bit but it could mean another soggy high for high school football.
In the tropics, an area of disturbed weather is being watched in the south central Gulf of Mexico. There are no signs of any storm formation at the moment and conditions do not appear favorable for storm formation. The GFS doesn’t do much with that area and the NAM is backing off of the solution it was proposing. The best estimate is that the area of disturbed weather will progress west-northwestward across the Gulf toward South Texas. And way out in the Atlantic, there was another area of disturbed weather southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. Some potential exists for this area to organize so we’ll watch that one. I also note an area of cloudiness northeast of the Leeward Islands, but the Hurricane Center did not make mention of that one.
In the long range, the GFS has no tropical system near Florida like it did yesterday – no big surprise when dealing in voodoo land. The GFS was showing a rather benign pattern for the longer term, but I’m pretty confident that will change.
James Spann will be back around 7 am tomorrow with the next Weather Xtreme Video. I hope you have a great Sunday and a wonderful upcoming week. I’ve got to head back to the campsite and get the morning buffet lined up for the deer. God bless.
-Brian-