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The players are all on the field for the potential for a really good soaking across our state tonight and tomorrow.
TO THE WEST: Humberto came in as a minimal hurricane last night, and is now moving into Southwest Louisiana. To the east of the circulation center, a tornado watch is up for parts of Louisiana (mostly parishes in the southwest part of the state), along with flash flood watches that extend into West Mississippi. Scroll down for most on Humberto; J.B. will have frequent updates on the progress of this storm throughout the day.
TO THE NORTH: A strong short wave will send down the coolest air so far this season into the U.S… that front should pass through Alabama late tomorrow night.
This combination should bring beneficial rain to Alabama tonight and tomorrow. The NAM prints 1.19″ for Birmingham, while the shows 0.94″. The models typically don’t handle precipitation fields with tropical systems very well; I think most of the state stands a good chance of two inches of rain, with some spots getting more. Just what the doctor ordered for a state that remains parched from a severe drought.
Showers and storms should begin to develop this afternoon, with periods of rain and a few thunderstorms likely tonight and tomorrow. The rain could linger into tomorrow night, meaning wet weather for some high school football stadiums.
THE WEEKEND: The rain moves out late Friday night or early Saturday, and the sky should clear nicely during the day Saturday as Canadian air moves in from the north. The high Saturday afternoon will be only in the low 80s, and by Sunday morning we should be down in the 50s. The latest GFS MOS shows 55 for Birmingham Sunday morning. Lots of sunshine on Sunday with a high in the low to mid 80s.
Looks like the first part of next week will remain dry and pleasant.
TD8: This system will crawl along to the northwest during the next five days… it should be north of the Leeward Islands by early next week. The jury is still out on this one; it could recurve into the open Atlantic, but bend back to the west, moving toward the Atlantic coast. Just too early to tell; we will be watching it. We should note this one will probably become Tropical Storm Ingrid later today.
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The blog will be hopping through tomorrow with fresh updates on Humberto and our rain situation, so stay tuned. The next Weather Xtreme video will be on the blog around 3:30 this afternoon!
