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Humberto was certainly a blessing as it hummed by yesterday dropping anywhere from 1 to 4 inches of rain across North and Central Alabama. Areas south of Clanton did not get quite as much rain. Humberto even lived up to the reputation that dying tropical systems have with a couple of tornado warnings for Jefferson and Tuscaloosa counties late yesterday morning. But today we expect to see lots of sun and much, much, much drier air moving into Central Alabama. At the time of this writing, the dew point was 67 at Calera but 44 at Muscle Shoals – what a contrast and what a welcome change to less humid conditions. This will make a great day for outdoor activities across Alabama.
Dry weather is going to extend into the upcoming week at least through the middle of the week. An interesting pattern shapes up toward the end of the week that could mean some additional rain. As the surface high slips off to the northeast, a wedge pattern could shape up with some interesting implications for temperatures and some moisture flowing into Central Alabama from the east. To add to this quandary, the GFS is also forecasting an upper level low on Thursday along the Northeast Gulf Coast in the vicinity of Tallahassee. In this position, the main rain threat will be east of Alabama, but the GFS meanders this feature to Northeast Alabama Friday and parks it over North Alabama. Certainly something for us to be watching while we enjoy the next few days of beautiful Fall weather.
Ingrid is not doing well as she encounters strong upper level shear. Convection is displaced from the center and the center is hard to locate. She was still a tropical storm this morning but the forecast is for it to drop to a depression. If the feature can maintain itself for the next couple of days, Ingrid might be able to spring back from near extinction. The current pattern suggests a Central Atlantic storm which would be a hazard only to shipping.
Peering out into voodoo land, the GFS develops a deep trough over the Central US around September 28 which could bring even chillier weather than the current front. Let’s hope so – I love Fall.
My wife and I had a very enjoyable time at the Alabama Symphony last night. Justin Brown, the Symphony conductor, is absolutely wonderful along with all of the members of the orchestra. It was a pleasure to see the Alys Stephens Center hall nearly packed for the first concert of the 2007-2008 season. What a treat for the ears.
I hope that you have a great weekend. I expect to have another Weather Xtreme Video here by 8:00 am or so Sunday morning. God bless.
-Brian-
