Published on: September 18, 2007 at 8:44 PM

Thanks to Tim Coleman for his afternoon post… I have been out of town all day, and am just getting settled into the weather office here at ABC 33/40. Of course, with Storm Chaser 33/40 I pretty much have an office wherever I go, and it has been very interesting today following developments with our system that should be named Jerry within the next 36 hours.

Here is the latest GFDL output:

It brings the system into the New Orleans area Friday night as a minimal hurricane. The concern here is that is might intensify more rapidly that the models indicate; just look at Humberto and how it blew up as it approached the Texas coast last week.

We note that there is generally good agreement with the models now on the scenario of Jerry moving into Southeast Louisiana.

A very tricky forecast for Alabama Friday and Saturday due to this… I am working on the morning forecast package now that will be posted over on the seven day page by 10:00… and of course I will have a full discussion and Weather Xtreme video here on the blog by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…