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Our weather today will mirror the day we experienced yesterday; warm and humid with a few scattered showers. The chance of any one spot getting wet today is about one in four, and the afternoon temperature will rise into the low to mid 80s. The sun will peek out from behind the clouds occasionally.
Over the weekend, showers should be few and far between as the entire troposphere becomes a little drier. With the increased sunshine, afternoon temperatures will rise well into the 80s; maybe even flirting with 90 over some of the western counties. No doubt the weekend will feel more like summer.
FOR SPORTS FANS: For high school football across North and Central Alabama tonight, the weather will be warm and humid and a slight chance of a shower. Temperatures will be near 80 degrees at kickoff, then falling into 70s through the rest of the game. Tomorrow, Vanderbilt will be at Auburn (11:30 kickoff), Houston at Alabama (2:00) and UAB will travel to Starkville to play Mississippi State (1:30). High temperatures will be well into the 80s at all three games. There is only a small chance of a shower, although a slightly better chance in Starkville. This is race weekend at Talladega. For the Mountain Dew 250 tomorrow, temperatures at the Superspeedway will range between 84 and 87 with only a small risk of a shower. On Sunday for the UAW-Ford 500, few if any showers expected with temperatures at the track peaking at a summer-like 88 degrees.
NEXT WEEK: Interesting to note that the 00Z runs of the GFDL and the Canadian have lost the tropical system in the Gulf next week. The GFS moves a broad low across the southern Gulf with no development; so for now the threat of a significant tropical system impacting the Central Gulf coast looks small. And, also unfortunately, the chance of a beneficial rain event here looks small as well. A cold front will pass through Tuesday night or early Wednesday, but with only limited moisture don’t expect much more than a few scattered showers. The rain deficit will only continue to increase. Cooler air will drop into the state during the latter half of the week.
LONG RANGE: Watch the video and see the big eastern U.S. upper trough around October 16 on the 00Z GFS… if that happens to be correct it should deliver the coolest air so far this season by October 17 or 18; that might get the colder valleys across North Alabama down into the upper 30s. But, no sign of any beneficial rain event here for the next 16 days.
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I had a really wonderful time last night at the “Nite on the Green” at the Bryant Conference Center in Tuscaloosa; I helped with the live auction, which raised a bunch of money for breast cancer research. Today I will be speaking at a Youth Leadership Conference at Alabama Power in downtown Birmingham… I will be back in the office by early afternoon and the next Weather Xtreme Video will be posted by 3:30 or so. Enjoy the day!
