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Really hard to tell if this is October or August today… at 2:00 Birmingham’s temperature was 87 degrees with a dewpoint of 64. Tuscaloosa and Montgomery were reporting 90… that is close to record territory. Like an August day, we have a few small, isolated showers on radar in the general area between Birmingham and Demopolis, but those will go away quickly with the setting sun this evening.
TOMORROW: A weak front passes through Alabama, but most communities will remain dry. Showers with the front should be few and far between with only limited moisture and upper air support. The chance of any one spot getting wet tomorrow is about one in four, and rain totals with the showers will be light. No dent in the drought at all.
THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: A cooling trend is the story. High drop into the mid 80s on Wednesday, close to 80 on Thursday, and then into the 70s on Friday and over the weekend. The 12Z GFS is still printing low 50s for Birmingham both Friday and Saturday morning, but the cooler valleys should be in the 40s. The air will be very dry and there is no chance of rain Friday through Sunday, so look for some fantastic football weather.
LONG RANGE: Still no sign of any serious rain event for Alabama during the next 10 days, and the rain deficits will only grow larger. Some hint of a nice upper trough coming in here around October 23-24 with a decent chance of rain by then, but we all know that is voodoo at this point.
TROPICS: The disturbance just east of Belize seems to be getting better organized, but interaction with land will probably prevent this from becoming a tropical depression. The rest of the Atlantic basin is generally unsettled, nothing to really focus on right now that has potential for better organization in the short term.
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I was out at Briarwood Christian School today…I enjoyed seeing the kids as usual, and I even bumped into Brenda Ladun and her husband, Doug Bell, in the lunchroom! Tomorrow I will be on the road to see the kids at Cullman East Elementary. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
