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I think we can say with confidence that November will be colder than normal, and drier than normal. I love the cold, but the dry part of that outlook is no good for a state in a severe drought. Let’s take a look at weather in coming days and weeks…
THE WEEKEND: Delightful. Sunny pleasant days, clear cold nights. We are projecting an average low of 44 tomorrow morning, with 40 early Sunday. Of course, this is not a one number state, as you know, and the colder valleys will go into the 30s early Sunday with some frost.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: No complaints from coaches, players, officials and fans. Clear for all the games this weekend. For high school games tonight, the temperature will be near 60 at kick off and dropping into the 50s. Auburn has homecoming hosting Tennessee Tech at 1:30 tomorrow at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Low humidity, 72 at kick off, 60s during the second half. LSU will be in Tuscaloosa for a 4:00 p.m. kick off with Alabama. Should be about 68 when foot meets leather for the first time and 58 at the final whistle. Southern Miss will be at Legion Field playing at 6:00 p.m. 65 at kick off, 53 in the fourth quarter.
NEXT WEEK: Another dry front moves in here on Tuesday (Tuesday could be a day with temperatures falling into the 50s), followed by the coldest air so far this season. The 00Z GFS MOS shows a low of 39 degrees for Birmingham both Wednesday and Thursday morning; it could be colder than that for many places with widespread frost, and a freeze for the colder valleys. We most likely won’t get out of the 50s on Wednesday despite maximum sunshine.
NOVEMBER 10-15: The 00Z GFS continues to show a major invasion of Arctic air in the November 13-15 time frame, with a decent chance of rain on November 11-12, prior to the cold air getting here. If the model is correct, we will be down in the 20s on a couple of mornings, and a significant snow event is likely for the southern Appalachians, with the chance of a few snow flakes down into Northeast Alabama. This is no forecast, just model output. All voodoo for now, but run to run consistency remains amazingly good. It will be very interesting to see how this all pans out.
NOEL: This big storm will bring very strong winds to the New England coast tomorrow and tomorrow night… as it makes the transformation from a tropical hurricane to an extratropical North Atlantic storm.
STORM ALERT XTREME: We hope to see you on Saturday, November 10 at the BJCC for our annual severe storm training session. Once again this year, the Alabama International Auto Show is a sponsor of Storm Alert XTREME, and it will be held at the BJCC. This is your chance to learn more about Alabama weather, and to be trained as a storm spotter. ABC 33/40 Meteorologist Brian Peters, long time WCM (Warning Coordination Meteorologist) for the National Weather Service in Birmingham, will teach a basic and advanced course on spotting small scale features within thunderstorms that are very important to meteorologists. Read more about Storm Alert XTREME here. Remember, if you attend Storm Alert Xtreme, you get into the car show at no cost!
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left.
WEATHER PARTY: Get all the latest weather news over on our sister site, WeatherParty.com. Be sure and register while you are there; you can submit stories and vote on them to determine what is published on the front page. This is a great way to find the latest weather-related news stories.
I will be speaking at Berry Middle School this morning… then back to the state where I will have the afternoon edition of the Weather Xtreme video posted by 3:30. Have a wonderful Friday.
