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Today we figure bone crushing subsidence (sinking air) will take the clouds out by mid-morning, with sunshine returning by the lunch hour. There will be some high clouds around, but the afternoon should be mostly sunny. Most communities will fail to reach 60 degrees today, even with the return of sunshine. And, we will be down in the mid 30s by daybreak tomorrow, with a freeze likely for the colder valleys.
DRY COLD FRONT: A front should pass through here in dry fashion tomorrow night, and bring a fresh shot of cool and dry air for Thursday. We rise into the 60s tomorrow, but the high will drop back into the upper 50s on Thursday. Friday will be another dry day.
WEEKEND PREVIEW: Still looks like Saturday will be dry, although a few showers or patches of light rain could try to ease in here Saturday night. An upper trough will support a cold front moving through here as the weekend ends, which should bring a round of showers and thunderstorms to Alabama. While a few showers are certainly possible on Sunday, the GFS continues to hint the best chance of that rain will come Sunday night into early Monday morning. We do note the European is slower, and it really holds off the main rain event until Monday.
Looks like the kind of setup for one-half inch of rain, with local amounts to one inch. Lifted index values drop below zero, so some thunder is possible, but severe weather doesn’t look especially likely. Colder air will follow the rain early next week.
VOODOO TIME: Nothing really catches out attention in the medium range (out to December 12)… but you have to note a very impressive buildup of cold air over the northern part of the continent in the next two weeks. In fact, it is really cold up there right now… as I type this Devils Lake, North Dakota reports 11 degrees below zero with a wind chill index of 23 below zero. Ouch.
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Today I am headed to Mount Olive Elementary School for a weather program… I will be back in the office by early afternoon, and the afternoon edition of the Weather Xtreme video will be up by 3:30 or so!
