An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player below, and on iTunes…
A 1040 mb surface high will be right on top of Alabama tonight, so look for temperatures to drop quickly after sunset. I still think an average low of 20 looks good, with teens likely for the colder valleys. The only potential fly in the ointment tonight is a batch of high clouds moving overhead; but I really think that won’t be much of a factor.
WARMER DAYS AHEAD: A nice warming trend begins tomorrow; we should reach the low 50s tomorrow afternoon, followed by upper 50s on Saturday, and mid 60s on Sunday. We will see some increase in low level moisture over the weekend, and scattered clouds, but we should remain dry through at least Sunday.
NEXT WEEK: A little model madness is beginning to take shape; the 12Z GFS now dampens out the big western U.S. trough as it approaches Alabama, meaning a marginal rain event on Wednesday and no thunderstorms. But, that run is a clear outlier; we won’t change the forecast for now. Previous runs have suggested about one inch of rain for Alabama on Wednesday. We will also introduce the chance of a few scattered showers Monday and Tuesday with increasing moisture levels.
JANUARY 13-14: The 12Z GFS continues the idea of a major upper trough, which spins up a surface low in the Gulf of Mexico that moves northeast, putting Alabama in a favorable quadrant of the storm for snow. If you want to see the snow accumulation graphic with the 12Z GFS, watch the Weather Xtreme video. Snow lovers will love what they see, but we are in the land of voodoo here, and nobody knows if this event will verify. But, I will say the GFS has had a pretty good track record over the past few months with events in the 7 to 15 day time frame. Only time will tell…
ABOUT THIS MORNING’S COLD: Birmingham’s official low this morning was 13 degrees; that was our coldest temperature since January 24, 2003 when we had a low of 7.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left.
WEATHER PARTY: Get all the latest weather news over on our sister site, WeatherParty.com. Be sure and register while you are there; you can submit stories and vote on them to determine what is published on the front page. This is a great way to find the latest weather-related news stories.
Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!