An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player below, and on iTunes…
We have a few sprinkles on radar this morning, but the best chance of showers during the next 24 hours will come from about 4:00 p.m. until 2:00 a.m. with our Alberta clipper. No big rain event; totals will be a quarter of an inch or less for most places. The NAM is now only printing 0.09″ for Birmingham.
NICE WEEKEND: What a great weekend ahead… mostly sunny days, fair nights, and the warming trend continues. We will rise into the mid 60s tomorrow, and low 70s are likely by Sunday. Enjoy the weekend, because we go on quite a weather roller coaster ride next week.
EARLY WEEK SYSTEM: SPC keeps all of Alabama in a severe weather risk for late Monday and Monday night. The latest GFS in hand (the 06Z run), moves the surface low from near New Orleans to Demopolis to Chattanooga. This would keep the best chance of severe weather south of I-59, and primarily from 4:00 p.m. Monday through 12:00 midnight Monday night.
However, the ECMWF runs the surface low from near Monroe, Louisiana to Paducah, Kentucky. This would mean a severe weather threat for all of Alabama Monday night, with the possibility of damaging straight line winds and a few tornadoes.
On the positive side, one to two inches of rain can be expected statewide late Monday and Monday night.
On Tuesday, following the storms, a deep cold core upper low will be right on top of Alabama. Dynamic cooling will bring the chance of snow showers to the northern third of the state, but at this point the chance of accumulating show looks relatively small since surface temperatures should be above freezing and the ground will be relatively warm. But, you know the deal, cold core upper low; weatherman’s woe. Strange things can happen under those things.
LATE WEEK SYSTEM: After a day and calm day Wednesday, another weather system will bring more forecast challenges late in the week. A cold front moves through Thursday afternoon with a chance of showers. Then, a strong disturbance rotates through the base of the long wave trough setting up over the eastern U.S., and develops a wave along that front over the northern Gulf of Mexico Thursday night and Friday morning. The GFS hints that this could bring a chance of some snow to Alabama; no point in trying to nail down specifics on this one right now. Just keep in mind the idea is out there. And, this is not really voodoo country since the event is within seven days. Stay tuned.
SPECIAL ABC 33/40 NOAA WEATHER RADIO OFFER: You can purchase a top of the line Midland NOAA Weather Radio at any Handy TV location in this part of Alabama for only $29.95. These receivers have the new digital technology that allows you to choose the counties for which the alarm sounds. Get more information here. Jason Simpson will be at the Handy TV location in Cullman this morning from 11:00 until 12:00… and will program your NOAA Weather Radio if you need help.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left.
Today I will be speaking at Hall-Kent Elementary School in Homewood… then I will be back in the weather office and the afternoon Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 3:30!
