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Some people across West Central Alabama waking up to the sound of rain falling along with thunder boomers. A large complex of thunderstorms was centered in the vicinity of Meridian, MS, moving generally southward with a scattered line of thunderstorms moving through parts of Central Alabama from Boaz to Tuscaloosa. Clouds and the morning storms will keep temperatures down again as we’ve seen a couple of times over the last week, however, if the sun breaks out, temperatures could climb to near 90. The additional moisture really should help most places stay in the 80s today. But humidity will be high.
Isolated wind damage is possible and additional thunderstorms could develop this afternoon. Sometimes the convection like this will stabilize the atmosphere enough that we don’t see additional storms, but as long as that weakness remains in the area aloft we cannot completely rule out additional storms this afternoon and evening.
The overall weather pattern does seem to be changing as the weakness in the upper atmosphere that has helped to generate numerous storms with some significant coverage to the rain areas begins to get pinched off as the upper ridge builds stronger. Without an air mass change, though, we will continue in a pattern with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms as the coverage diminishes to scattered or widely scattered. Daily chances for showers will be in the 20 to 30 percent range.
The ridge is the main feature to watch for the next week with highs climbing into the middle 90s. So while the heat cranks up a bit we still don’t see extreme heat for the next week.
The ridge does dampen somewhat by next weekend thanks to storm systems traveling across the US-Canadian border but the GFS keeps the ridge strong over the Southeast. I’m having a little trouble with that scenario as it seems more likely for the upper high to edge westward a little, but then we are verging on voodoo country. And as we are seeing this morning, the weather is likely to depend on small scale mesoscale boundaries.
Week 2 of the GFS modeling suggests a return to some unsettled weather as another weak trough sets up over the eastern US.
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Thanks for staying tuned to the Weather Xtreme Video. Stay with the Blog for additional updates on the weather for Central Alabama. I expect to publish the next video on Sunday morning by 8 am or so. Have a great day and Godspeed.
-Brian-
