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As expected, today is another summer-like day across Alabama with ample sunshine and temperatures up in the 80s. Birmingham was reporting 82 degrees at 2:00 with only a few fair weather cumulus clouds around.
THE DAYS AHEAD: While tomorrow looks like another warm and dry day, I will mention an outside risk of a shower tomorrow night with an impulse moving through. Most places will remain dry.
Low level moisture will improve on Friday, and a few showers could show up, but they should be widely spaced with little in the way of upper air dynamics. The weather will remain warm with a high at or just over 80.
THE WEEKEND: A cold front will move down toward the Tennessee Valley Saturday, bringing a better chance of showers and thunderstorms. The best coverage of showers Saturday should be north of I-20, and even there the day won’t be a total wash-out.
Sunday, the initial front will dissipate, but a stronger front with good upper air support will approach. We will maintain a chance of scattered showers and storms during the day, but most likely the best coverage of showers and thunderstorms will come Sunday night when the actual front moves through. A few strong storms could be involved Sunday night.
TALLADEGA WEEKEND: The chance of a shower or storm at the Talladega Superspeedway is about 50/50 both Saturday and Sunday. But, there will be some decent intervals of sunshine away from the showers, and the rain (if it happens at the track) won’t linger for a long time. Afternoon highs will be close to 80 degrees.
NEXT WEEK: Looks like showers and storms will end during the pre-dawn hours Monday, and much cooler air settles in here next week. The latest GFS MOS shows a high of only 68 for Birmingham on Monday, with a low of 45 Tuesday morning. At this point the weather looks dry Tuesday and Wednesday with that cool air in place.
VOODOO COUNTRY: The weather looks pretty benign on the 12Z GFS in the May 1-9 time frame, with most of the big rain producers staying north and west of Alabama.
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