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Not much change in our thinking for the weekend….
REST OF TODAY/TONIGHT: Looks like the best moisture and instability axis has set up over on the eastern side of the state where scattered showers and storms have formed, mainly along and east of U.S. 431. Others could pop up on the other side of the state, but they will remain widely spaced, and most of them will die off quickly once the sun goes down.
TOMORROW: A cold front moves into the state tomorrow with a chance of showers and storms. No all day wash-out here, but a shower or storm will be possible at just about any time. The best coverage should come during the afternoon and evening when the air is most unstable. Don’t expect any major severe weather issues, although a strong storm is not out of the question, especially if we can get some morning sunshine.
SUNDAY: The initial front will stall out over North-Central Alabama, and most likely move northward in response to a strong upper trough digging down over the central part of the nation. We will maintain a chance of showers and storms during the day Sunday, but the best coverage will probably come Sunday night with a stronger cold front. There will be some decent dynamics in play here, but instability values look pretty marginal for severe weather. But, you always have to watch systems like this in late April.
The 12Z NAM is now much wetter; is shows 1.46″ for Birmingham over the weekend, while the GFS is printing 0.99″.
TALLADEGA RACES: The chance of a shower or storm at the track both days is about one in three with afternoon temperatures in the mid to upper 70s.
NEXT WEEK: Cooler air blows in here Monday; we won’t get out of the 60s despite the return of sunshine. And, we go well down in the 40s by early Tuesday morning. The week looks generally dry and comfortable.
VOODOO LAND: While we don’t see any major, wound up systems that would pose a big severe weather threat, several rain opportunities do show up during the first 12 days of May with a disturbed southern jet stream over the Deep South.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left.
Brian Peters will have the Weather Xtreme video updates here over the weekend… my next one will come Monday morning by 7:00. Enjoy the weekend!
