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The first half of the week will feature very pleasant spring weather for Alabama, while the daily eruption of thunderstorms will be across the nation’s heartland. Look for a good supply of sunshine each day through Wednesday around here, with a high in the upper 70s today, and low to mid 80s tomorrow and Wednesday.
OUR NEXT RAIN: We will continue to mention a chance of showers and thunderstorms Thursday with a short wave passing just north of here. A few strong thunderstorms will be possible, but at this point a major severe weather threat doesn’t seem especially likely since the wave will be in the process of weakening, along with the associated wind fields. But, it looks like the storms will come during the peak of the heating process Thursday afternoon, so we will need to watch the radar closely. The GFS hints that the southern half of Alabama will be capped with little or no rain south of Montgomery.
FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: This is a rather challenging forecast; there is a hint of a stalled surface boundary around here Friday, but with little upper support I don’t think rain will be a major issue, although showers could pop up during the afternoon.
The front moves northward on Saturday, and it seems like the best chance of showers will be over the northeast third of the state. Then, another front approaches from the west Sunday with a chance of showers and storms statewide. But, all of this is subject to change as the week rolls along.
NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: The GFS shows strong weather systems impacting Alabama around May 16 and May 20; keep in mind most Alabama reporting stations are one to three inches behind on rain for the year, so we still need some good soakers. No, we are not as dry as 2007, but it would be nice to have a rain surplus heading into the summer.
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