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Looks like a relatively wet period for Alabama through Sunday. Of course, there will be some sunshine in the mix too, but copious amounts of moisture will be overhead, and a shower or storm will be possible at just about any time. The NAM is printing 1.84″ of rain for Birmingham during the next 84 hours, and that is certainly possible, if not likely. Some spots will see more where slow moving tropical downpours develop.
Along the way, we will have to watch for wet microbursts and localized flooding. Some hail is possible in the stronger storms; I just saw a local storm report from the Mobile NWS office that mentioned golf ball sized hail that fell down in Covington County near Opp within the hour this afternoon. And, of course, all summer storms pack a big time lightning package. Scroll down for some great lightning shots from our readers.
TROPiCAL WEATHER: The convection in the southern Gulf of Mexico is associated primarily with an upper level trough; surface pressures are high in the area and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.
GULF COAST WEATHER: Deep tropical moisture will mean scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms along the Gulf Coast from Panama City westward to Gulf Shores through the weekend. There will be some sunshine at times, however.
NEXT WEEK: Drier air works down into North Alabama during the first half of next week; looks like most of the showers and storms will be south of Montgomery Monday, Tuesday, and possibly Wednesday. Moisture returns later in the week, and we will bring back the chance of scattered afternoon thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday, the Fourth of July. The GFS is suggesting highs in the mid 80s next week, but I suspect we will be close to 90 on most afternoons.
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